One of the fundamental yet challenging questions for FPL managers is whether it’s better to choose players based on their current form or their upcoming fixtures (match schedule). Here, we dive into what you need to know to make smart decisions each week!
Form: What Does It Mean?
Form is about how well a player is performing at the moment. Many FPL managers look at points from the last four to six gameweeks to gauge a player’s form. Some key factors to consider when analyzing a player’s form include:
- Goals and assists: Is the player scoring or assisting regularly?
- Playing time: Is the player a regular starter, or is there a risk of rotation?
- Underlying stats: For example, shots on target, chances created, and involvement in the team’s attack.
Fixtures: The Importance of the Match Schedule
Fixtures refer to which teams a player will face in upcoming matches. Teams with easier matches tend to create more chances and keep clean sheets more often, increasing the chance for points in FPL. When analyzing fixtures, you may consider:
- Opponent strength: How strong is the opposition? Facing top teams like Manchester City or Liverpool is often tougher than teams in the lower half.
- Home vs. away: Some teams perform significantly better at home.
- Upcoming schedule: Does the team have multiple games in a short span that could lead to rotation?
Form vs. Fixtures: Which Is Better?
The short answer is that both form and fixtures matter — but their importance can vary depending on the player and the situation. Here are a few guidelines to help you decide:
- Prioritize form for offensive players: A forward or midfielder who scores frequently is valuable, regardless of the opposition. When a player is in top form, it may be worth keeping him even against tough opponents.
- Look at fixtures for defensive players: For defenders and goalkeepers, fixtures are usually more important. A defense facing teams in the lower half is more likely to keep clean sheets, which brings in more points.
- Combine form and fixtures when in doubt: If unsure, look for players who have both good form and a favorable match schedule. Players who tick both these boxes can often be the most reliable point scorers.
Example: How to Use Both Strategies
Let’s say you’re considering picking up Bukayo Saka (Arsenal) or Marcus Rashford (Manchester United). Saka has been in good form lately but faces tough teams like Manchester City and Chelsea, while Rashford has lower points but easier matches ahead. In this case, fixtures might weigh more, especially if Rashford has high playing time and the potential to find form again.
Conclusion
Balancing form and fixtures is the key to success in Fantasy Premier League. Keep an eye on your players, their matchups, and how they’re performing over time to find the optimal mix. This way, you can maximize your points and stay a step ahead of your competitors every week!